As a continuation of my earlier valuation article focusing on IP, clinical trials, management, and technology, this second part will focus on market size and risk-adjusted net present value (rNPV). While not to diminish the other important aspects of an objective valuation of a development stage biotech, market size / indication is arguably the most [...]
As readers of BIP are well aware, purchasing stock or options in development stage biotechnology companies is loaded with risk. These early-stage companies (sometimes euphemistically referred to as “pre-revenue”) burn cash funding R&D and clinical trials, with no guarantee of approval or even significant revenue following successful approval! To further complicate matters, expenses increase as [...]
This article is part of a three part series. Part 1. Part 2. Catalyst Risk In order to survive and thrive in biotech investing you must be aware of the catalysts, or major binary events, facing the primary and significant secondary value drivers in the given company’s pipeline. These events typically consist of data releases [...]
This article is part of a three part series. To read Part 1, click here. Short Interest So far we’ve talked about poor institutional ownership (no >5% owners) and poor analyst coverage as red flags in biotech – each indicating that a long position in a particular biotech may be an especially risky play. The [...]